UK Inflation Holds at 3.8%: Rising Food Prices Put Pressure on Households

17 September 2025

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The UK’s inflation rate remained at 3.8% in August, unchanged from July, but soaring food prices continue to squeeze household budgets. According to official data, the cost of food and non-alcoholic drinks rose by 5.1% year-on-year, with beef, butter, milk, and chocolate seeing the steepest increases.

Why Are Food Prices Rising So Fast?

Economists highlight that one of the main drivers of food price inflation is the increase in employer costs, which supermarkets are passing on to consumers. Key factors include:

  • Minimum wage increases

  • Higher National Insurance Contributions (NIC)

As a result, families doing their weekly grocery shopping feel the impact of inflation more strongly than the official average suggests.

The UK vs. Europe: A Clear Gap

The UK’s 3.8% inflation rate remains significantly higher compared to other major European economies in August:

  • France: 0.8%

  • Germany: 2.1%

Yael Selfin, Chief Economist at KPMG UK, noted that the UK has become “an outlier in recent months” in terms of inflation, largely due to domestic policy choices and rising employer costs.

Which Food Items Are Affected the Most?

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that several products saw particularly steep price hikes in the 12 months to August:

  • Beef and veal: +25%

  • Butter: +19%

  • Chocolate: +15.4%

Meanwhile, prices for items such as clothing and footwear declined, partly due to summer discounting by retailers.

Inflation-rate-2025

What Does This Mean for Households?

Between May and July, average UK wage growth was 4.7%. However, food prices rose by 5.1%, meaning wage growth is not keeping up with living costs and reducing real purchasing power.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves, ahead of the 26 November Budget announcement, acknowledged the strain on families:

“I know families are finding it tough, and for many, the economy feels stuck. That’s why I’m determined to bring costs down.”

Conclusion

While the UK’s overall inflation rate remains stable, soaring food costs are putting increasing pressure on household finances. Compared to Europe, the UK’s inflation challenges stand out, reflecting the need for careful review of domestic policies. For many families, the weekly grocery shop has become a clear sign of the rising cost of living.

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